A look at what is currently available on eBay
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Which is harder bowling a 300 game or hitting a hole in one?
I had a hole in one two weeks ago friday, and my best friend is a very avid bowler, but not a average golfer. He thinks it's eaier to hit a hole in one, than bowl a 300 game. What do you think? By the way he has never done either!
Golf Digest hired a retired chairman of the Math. Dept. at Boston U. to calculate the odds of a hole in one using the "best available" data. Some results:
# Tour player making an ace: 3,000 to 1
# Low-handicapper making an ace: 5,000 to 1
# Average player making an ace: 12,000 to 1
Source: http://golf.about.com/od/faqs/f/holeinoneodds.htm
The odds of an adult male bowling a perfect game are 1 in 11,500. Source: http://www.newsday.com/sports/highschool/ny-skhscol285070458jan28,0,2568693.column
If these two sources are correct, the odds of a golf ace vs. a perfect game of bowling are about the same for the "average" player.
A profession bowler's strike percentage is typically over 60% with the record over a season being 66.28%. A perfect game requires 12 consecutive strikes. If each frame could be treated as an independent event (it's really not since bowlers can't forget that they just bowled ten strikes and have a chance at a perfect game with two more strikes), the probability of a perfect game is about (0.6)^12 = 0.00218. This puts the odds at about 460 to 1. These odds are better than a PGA Tour player making an ace so a perfect game is easier for a pro bowler.
During the 2002-2003 season, the PBA Tour recorded 19 perfect games. http://www.economics.pomona.edu/GarySmith/bowling/bowling.html
During the 2005 season, the PGA Tour recorded 33 aces while the LPGA Tour had 21. http://www.usatoday.com/sports/golf/2006-07-16-hole-in-one_x.htm
To make a valid comparison, we would have to know how many pro bowling games were played vs. how many pro golf Par 3 holes were played.



